|THE JERSEY WRECKING BALL, HIJACKER OF ELECTORAL COMMISSION, SPECIAL ENVOY TO THE "SUSPENDED" DEAN, CASUAL WITH SENSITIVE DATA AND ALL ROUND FEUDAL KING - SENATOR BAILHACHE|
Friday, April 19, 2013
THE JERSEY REFERENDUM & "THE NUMBERS GAME"
"THE JERSEY REFERENDUM"
"THE NUMBERS GAME"
"THIS REFERENDUM STINKS LIKE HELL"
"I WILL BEGRUDGINGLY BE VOTING 'A' IN THIS REFERENDUM"
Let me run this little scenario past my readers. It is about "The Numbers Game". It is about "Head Counting" this is how the vast majority of legislation is passed in the states. It doesn't matter if the argument is lost on a proposition, it's solely about having enough members to pass it. The majority lies in the right wing, establishment, executive.
The reason I'm voting 'A' is that I want option 'A' to stand a chance in the debate that will follow the referendum. Option 'A' must win at the polls to stand a slight chance of being implemented. During the BBC Jersey Breakfast show this morning the most crucial part was when the presenter Mathew Price asked Senator Bailhache about what he thought was a reasonable number regarding voter turnout. Senator Bailhache refused to be drawn on this issue. He said "If a reasonable percentage of the island turnout for one or other of the options he is sure the states will implement it." Mathew Price asked him a number of times just what he thought was a reasonable number but the Senator refused to give one. I thought Mathew Price should have been harder with Senator Bailhache on this point. He should have told him that his listeners deserved to know what the Chairman of the Electoral Commission thought was a reasonable number.
The reason that Senator Bailhache won't be drawn on this issue is simple. It is to do with the States of Jersey and the "Numbers Game." The Senator is not worried if it is a 15% or 20% turnout. This is about getting option 'B' voted through the States if it wins on Wednesday. Now the likely hood of Option B winning is vastly higher than A. It is the country parishes that will decide it. We will then believe that it will get rejected in the States because of a multiple of reasons: Low voter turnout, No option getting a clear majority, spoilt papers etc etc. This, I believe, is simply not the case.
"THE NUMBERS GAME"
How do they get Option B passed in the states even if it is a low turnout and no clear majority?
You simply "Head Count"
You tell everyone how the public are sick to death of hearing about reform when there are so many other pressing issues concerning the Island. You say that the public have spoken and we must respect their wishes - even though there are some glaring issues concerning the result - and then you simply "HEADCOUNT."
They need 27 Votes to get B through the States . Do they have them? I say yes.
This is my list:
I'm going for 11 Connétables - I'm giving Constable Crowcroft the benefit of the doubt on this one.
11 - Constables
Senator, Bailhache - Ozouf - Gorst - Routier
Deputies, Power, Pinel, Noel, Bryons, Luce, Pryke, Baker, Moore, Le Bailley, Lewis, Green and Ryan.
Members will be under pressure to go with the result. The Constables give it a good kick start to the magic number of 27.
This is just my opinion.
The real fun will start if Option A wins at the polls.
For this reason alone I'm giving Option 'A' my vote. Having 42 States Members will be disastrous in my opinion. Feel free to have your own say on this.
The Battle is getting it passed in the States.
Time to start the "Headcount"
Part Time Investigative Journalist